Football Betting

Mickelson roars to win at Pebble Beach

Golf Betting Lines

02/12/2012 - Pebble Beach, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Sunday's final round at Pebble Beach was set up perfectly for Phil Mickelson and Tiger Woods to battle head-to-head.

Neither was in the lead to start the round, but that changed quickly after Mickelson went five-under par through six holes and was well on his way to victory with two-thirds of the round still to go.

Mickelson fired a bogey-free eight-under 64 to win the Pebble Beach National Pro-Am by two shots over Charlie Wi. Mickelson, who had the low round of the day by three strokes, picked up his fourth win at this event at 17-under 269.

It was Mickelson's 40th PGA Tour victory, putting him alone in ninth place on the all-time wins list.

Woods never got anything going and missed several short putts. He struggled to a three-over 75 to slide into a tie for 15th place at eight-under 278.

Wi, the third-round leader, fought off some early struggles to post an even- par 72 but ended alone in second place at 15-under 271. It marked the third straight week that the 54-hole leader failed to hang on for the victory.

Ricky Barnes closed with a five-under 67 to grab third place at minus-13. Aaron Baddeley also shot 67 to take fourth at 12-under 274.

MORE TO FOLLOW.


<< Hampton lifts West Virginia over No. 2 Notre Dame
South Bend, IN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Brooke Hampton came up huge for her team with a pair of clutch free throws with 4.6 seconds left in the game, lifting West Virginia to a 65-63 upset over second-ranked Notre Dame on Sunday. Trailing,

<< Mutuel field heavy favorite in Kentucky Derby Future Wager
Louisville, KY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The first of three Kentucky Derby Future Wagers for the 2012 Run for the Roses closed Sunday night with the mutuel field being a heavy favorite. The top single three-year-old was Union Rags. The Fu

<< Rondo's triple-double helps Celtics hold off Bulls
Boston, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Rajon Rondo recorded his ninth career triple- double with 32 points, 15 assists and 10 rebounds, helping the Boston Celtics hold off the Chicago Bulls, 95-91. Kevin Garnett added 13 points and 12 boards f

<< No. 4 Stanford crushes UCLA
Stanford, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Nnemkadi Ogwumike netted a game-high 25 points to go with eight rebounds as No. 4 Stanford ran over UCLA, 82-59, on Sunday. Chiney Ogwumike finished with 19 points, while Toni Kokenis and Joslyn Tinkle added

<< Panthers use strong second period to down Isles
Uniondale, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Tomas Fleischmann, Kris Versteeg and Jack Skille tallied in the second period as Florida powered past the New York Islanders, 4-1, at Nassau Coliseum. Tyson Strachan also lit the lamp for the Pan

Pavin downs Senior in Boca Raton playoff >>
Boca Raton, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Corey Pavin birdied the first playoff hole Sunday to defeat Peter Senior and win the Allianz Championship. Senior birdied the final hole of regulation to force the playoff. Both Pavin and Senior closed with

Hampton lifts WVU over No. 2 Notre Dame >>
South Bend, IN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Brooke Hampton came up huge for her team with a pair of clutch free throws with 4.6 seconds left in the game, lifting West Virginia to a 65-63 upset over second-ranked Notre Dame on Sunday. Trailing,

Rondo has triple-double, Celtics top Bulls >>
Boston, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Rajon Rondo recorded his ninth career triple- double with 32 points, 15 assists and 10 rebounds, helping the Boston Celtics hold off the Chicago Bulls, 95-91, on Sunday. Kevin Garnett added 13 points and

Tsonga lifts France to win over Canada >>
Vancouver, BC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - World No. 6 Jo-Wilfried Tsonga breezed past Frank Dancevic on Sunday and sent France to a Davis Cup quarterfinals meeting with the United States. Tsonga needed just around two hours to knock off Dancevi

Nolan scores winner as Kings top Stars >>
Dallas, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jordan Nolan capped his first NHL game with his first career goal, the game-winning tally in the third period as Los Angeles doubled up Dallas, 4-2, at American Airlines Center. Justin Williams, Dwight King

MySportsbook.com: New College Football Clock Rules Examined

Coaches and bettors alike are desperate to make sense of the new time-keeping rules on the NCAA gridiron. One of the big stories to come out of the Ohio State-Texas clash last weekend was Texas coach Mack Brown's criticism of the NCAA's new clock rules that are intended to shorten the duration of college football games, therefore affecting college football betting.

"They scored with six minutes left and the game was over before we had a chance to do anything," Brown told ESPN.com. "I really hope whoever made these changes will go back and look them over."

Sure, it might be sour grapes; the Buckeyes thoroughly trounced the defending national champion Longhorns 24-7. However, Brown isn't alone in giving the changes their due thought. Bettors are also wondering about them, albeit for a completely different reason. Most experts agree that the changes will result in games being shortened by anywhere from 10 to 20 plays. The obvious consequence is lower scores, with more time rolling off the clock during changes of possession. (The Ohio State-Texas game flew well under the total of 52.)

According to research at the online sportsbook MySportsbook.com, more than 18 plays a game disappeared last weekend into thin air. That's a 10-percent reduction. In 2005, a typical game had 168.58 plays. For 2007 already, it's down to 150.26.

As a result, teams combined to gain an average of about 100 fewer yards a game last weekend versus the 2005 openers. Scoring was also down by about 4.5 points (attention Las Vegas sports lines).

Of course, oddsmakers were able to adjust to the changes before the season started. Proof of that came as the over went a balanced 8-9 at My Sportsbook on Saturday.

Other angles to consider:A shorter game should theoretically result in shorter lines. Whereas Team A might have been a 14-point favorite in a 168-play game (last year), if there are 10 percent less snaps in 2007, the line should also be reduced by 10 percent (to 13 or 12.5). Of course, this is an over-simplification of the matter, but something to keep in mind.
Less possessions means a better chance the game will be decided by three or seven points. For example, what might have been a 20-10 final score in 2005 may end at

17-10 in 2007. Granted, a 24-17 game last year might end at 21-17 these days, but the former - a three- or seven-point advantage being preserved as opposed to created - is the most likely scenario.

*UPDATE* - Sept. 25, 2007

New Clock Rules Boon for online bookmakers

By adjusting the time-keeping rules to shorten the duration of college football games, the NCAA hoped to make its product more enjoyable for the fans. While the NCAA's success in this regard is still up for debate, bookmakers couldn't be happier with the results.

"We are seeing a massive jump in college football betting," noted the MySportsbook.com management team. "With all the early Saturday games (12 a.m. ET) ending before the second wave begins (3:30 p.m. ET) - something that didn't always happen before the changes - bettors are now able to re-invest their winnings from the morning session in the afternoon games."

While not all bettors will choose to roll over their winnings, it doesn't take much for an impact to be seen on the bottom line. "Not all of the millions of dollars in morning payouts get re-bet. In fact, it's probably only 10 to 20 percent," noted the sportsbook management team. "Still, the increased football betting lines window will create a ton of growth for us over the course of the season."

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Horse Betting

(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).

The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.

"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."

Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.

"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."

When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:

CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.

DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.

PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.

You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.

"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."

Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.

(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)

Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."

But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."

Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."

Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."

All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.

In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.

"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."

To visit this horse betting site go to MySportsbook.com for all your horse racing betting needs.